{"id":9487,"date":"2026-11-11T11:15:57","date_gmt":"2026-11-11T10:15:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cdrterra.de\/?p=9487"},"modified":"2026-11-11T11:30:03","modified_gmt":"2026-11-11T10:30:03","slug":"co%e2%82%82-removal-during-overshoot-when-demand-rises-and-options-dwindle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cdrterra.de\/en\/news\/co%e2%82%82-removal-during-overshoot-when-demand-rises-and-options-dwindle\/","title":{"rendered":"CO\u2082 Removal During Overshoot"},"content":{"rendered":" <div class=\"block block--image  margin-bottom\" id=\"block_2f0e2a99f151552a3680263850b2d8e7\" data-id=\"\">\n\n\n\t<div class=\"container container--small js-fade js-fade-up\">\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t<figure>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"relative\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdrterra.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/NewsPicture_PBOvershoot_CDRterra-800x466.jpg\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/cdrterra.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/NewsPicture_PBOvershoot_CDRterra-1600x932.jpg 1600w,\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\thttps:\/\/cdrterra.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/NewsPicture_PBOvershoot_CDRterra-1400x815.jpg 1400w,\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\thttps:\/\/cdrterra.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/NewsPicture_PBOvershoot_CDRterra-1200x699.jpg 1200w,\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\thttps:\/\/cdrterra.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/NewsPicture_PBOvershoot_CDRterra-1024x596.jpg 1024w,\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\thttps:\/\/cdrterra.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/NewsPicture_PBOvershoot_CDRterra-800x466.jpg 800w,\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\thttps:\/\/cdrterra.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/NewsPicture_PBOvershoot_CDRterra-680x396.jpg 680w,\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\thttps:\/\/cdrterra.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/NewsPicture_PBOvershoot_CDRterra-560x326.jpg 560w\" \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tsizes=\"auto, (min-width:1001px) 912px, 95vw\" \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\twidth=\"1813\" height=\"1056\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t class=\"one-whole\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tloading=\"lazy\" alt=\"\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t \t\t<div class=\"image-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t \t\t\t<p class=\"copyright-icon\">\u00a9<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t \t\t\t<div class=\"copyright-info\">\n\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t<p class=\"caption-item\">\u00a9 \u00c8ve Barlier <\/p>\n\t\t\t\t \t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t \t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t \t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\n\t\t\n\t<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n <div class=\"block block--text  none\" id=\"block_51c55061bdcb18f8f2207b1f83095f9d\" data-id=\"\">\n\n\n\t<div class=\"container container--small js-fade js-fade-up\">\n\n\t\t<p><strong>New CDRterra Policy Brief: CDR in Overshoot<br \/>\n<\/strong>The policy brief \u201cCDR in Overshoot\u2014How CO\u2082 Removal Can Stabilize the Climate After Exceeding 1.5 Degrees\u201d explains the dual role of CDR, highlights the potential and limitations of various methods, and examines the uncertainties involved in long-term planning.<\/p>\n<p>The key message: Emissions reductions must be the top priority. At the same time, an early ramp-up of CO\u2082 removal is crucial to bringing global temperatures back down in the long term.<br \/>\nThe policy brief was developed by researchers from the \u00d6ko-Institut, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), and Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU).CO\u2082 Removal Plays a Dual Role During the Overshoot<\/p>\n<p>How much the global temperature rises above the 1.5-degree threshold depends primarily on how quickly greenhouse gas emissions decline. How long the so-called overshoot phase lasts, on the other hand, is largely determined by CO\u2082 removal (Carbon Dioxide Removal, CDR).<br \/>\nCDR serves two purposes: First, it must offset residual emissions that are difficult to avoid in order to achieve net-zero emissions and halt further temperature rise. Additional CO\u2082 removal then enables net-negative emissions to bring the temperature back down.<\/p>\n<p>An estimate illustrates the quantities that might be required for this: approximately 220 billion metric tons of CO\u2082 are estimated per tenth of a degree of temperature reduction. A reduction from 1.8 to 1.5 degrees would therefore correspond to around 660 billion metric tons of net-negative emissions. The actual requirement depends on the specific climate scenario and is subject to considerable uncertainty. To determine the total CO\u2082 removal requirement, removals needed to offset remaining emissions must also be taken into account.<\/p>\n<p><strong>More Warming, Less CO\u2082 Removal?<\/strong><br \/>\nA large overshoot poses a twofold risk: The need for CO\u2082 removal increases, while at the same time the effectiveness of individual methods may decline.<br \/>\nBiological methods are particularly affected. More frequent droughts, heat waves, and pest infestations, for example, can damage forests. As a result, they absorb less CO\u2082 and may release carbon that has already been stored. Carbon storage in soils can also be impaired by changing climate conditions.<br \/>\nAdded to this are hard-to-predict feedback loops in the Earth system that can further exacerbate climate change.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Why an Early-Stage CDR Portfolio Is Crucial<\/strong><br \/>\nCO\u2082 removal methods vary significantly in terms of their potential, costs, technological maturity, storage duration, and risks. There is no single method that is universally optimal.<br \/>\nThis policy brief therefore explains why different methods must be researched, further developed, and coordinated at an early stage. Methods already available, such as reforestation, could make a significant contribution initially. Technically more complex methods, such as direct air capture and carbon storage (DACCS), could gain importance later on.<br \/>\nHowever, it is not certain that biological methods will maintain their effectiveness as climate impacts intensify. Therefore, additional CO\u2082 removal capacities should also be taken into account in long-term planning.<\/p>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n <div class=\"block block--button  margin-bottom--big\" id=\"block_b1d040439bd4c25ff3d2e15ee1a78eac\" data-id=\"\">\n\n\t<div class=\"container container--small text--center\">\n\n\n\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.23365360\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"btn\">\n\t\t\t\t\tDownload the Policy Brief &#8220;CDR during Overshoot&#8221;\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Global warming is expected to exceed the 1.5-degree threshold. CO\u2082 removal can help bring temperatures back down. However, climate change could compromise the effectiveness of individual methods. What does this mean for long-term planning?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":9561,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[95],"class_list":["post-9487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aktuelles-en","tag-policy-brief-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CO\u2082 Removal During Overshoot - CDRterra<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Global warming is expected to exceed the 1.5-degree threshold. CO\u2082 removal can help bring temperatures back down. However, climate change could compromise the effectiveness of individual methods. 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