Description
Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is essential for achieving climate neutrality by 2045. Bio-based approaches such as BECCS, natural sink enhancement, or biomass-based construction materials offer not only negative emissions but also valuable co-benefits for ecosystems and society.
In this study the authors developed future scenarios for bio-based CDR in Germany. Using the PESTEL (Policy, Environmental, Social, Technological, Economic, and Legal aspects) framework—expanded with a Biomass dimension—and insights from stakeholders, the authors created storylines that highlight different pathways:
- Scenario 1: A cost-efficient CDR-portfolio
- Scenario 2: A restricted CDR-portfolio with:
- Scenario 2a: Decentralised options only
- Scenario 2b: Natural sinks only
- Scenario 3: Skyrocketing of bio-based CDR
- Scenario 4: A roadblock scenario with little support for bio-based CDR
These scenarios shed light on key drivers, potential value chains, and system-wide benefits. They provide guidance for policymakers, researchers, and stakeholders seeking to understand the role of bio-based CDR in a climate-neutral future.
Tags
bio-based CDR
BECCS
Scenarios